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AEIInterest rates fall when stocks crash How quickly Martin Feldstein seems to forget the post-2008 Lehman crisis financial market experience. Today, in a Wall Street Journal op-ed titled “Stocks are headed for a fall,” he argues that when interest rates rise back to normal levels, share prices are also likely to revert to previous norms. He makes this assertion despite the fact that following the 2008 stock market crash, interest rates quickly declined to close to their zero bound and remained there for more than seven years. Contra Martin Feldstein's recent op-ed, it seems logically inconsistent to expect both stock market prices Read More >>
Wed, Jan 17, 2018
Source: Public Policy Blog of the American Enterprise Institute Category: ETHICS AND PUBLIC POLICY CENTER
AEIWhat's so ‘cruel' about Medicaid work requirements? My latest column argues in support of the Trump administration's decision to allow work requirements as a condition of eligibility for the Medicaid program. At its core, this is a debate over the purpose of the social safety net. Among healthy, working-age adults who aren't the primary caregiver for a dependent, public policy should be designed to combat idleness, to increase community attachment, and to increase work rates. Medicaid work requirements aren't punitive. Instead, they reflect proper social expectations. They send a message that if you can contribute to society, then you should. That message Read More >>
Wed, Jan 17, 2018
Source: Public Policy Blog of the American Enterprise Institute Category: ETHICS AND PUBLIC POLICY CENTER
AEIHow the latest affordable housing policy benefits homeowners and realtors, not first-time buyers The numbers are in and yet another government housing policy intended to open “the door to home purchase mortgages for large numbers of new buyers” has failed. Instead of bringing income-constrained borrowers into the market, it is making housing less affordable by adding more fuel to a national house price boom that is pricing them out of the market, while providing a windfall to home sellers and real estate agents. What started as a policy change by Fannie Mae to close the growing affordability gap has resulted in a Read More >>
Wed, Jan 17, 2018
Source: Public Policy Blog of the American Enterprise Institute Category: ETHICS AND PUBLIC POLICY CENTER
In addition to having contacts in the Obama Justice Department and FBI, former spy Christopher Steele was also well-connected with the Obama... at WashingtonExaminer.com Read More >>
Tue, Jan 16, 2018
Source: Byron York Category: BYRON YORK
AEITaking a second look at the idea that antitrust action created the US software industry Advocates of aggressive antitrust actions against large American technology companies such as Google and Facebook often argue that today's super-successful tech industry owes a debt to antitrust actions of the past. Under this theory, US government investigations and lawsuits tamed and/or distracted the monopolistic tech giants of the past — even though the companies were not broken up — allowing competitors to bloom and grow. So Google and Facebook should thank the Clinton administration for suing Microsoft in 1998, and the entire US software industry should Read More >>
Fri, Jan 12, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
AEIIs regulatory risk rising for bitcoin and other digital currencies? Some interesting perspectives in new note from Capital Economics, though it doesn't specifically refer to the US: After last year's phenomenal rally, bitcoin has started 2018 on a rocky note. Rumours of stricter regulations have rattled investors. And understandably so. South Korea holds some of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, so a ban is expected to disrupt bitcoin trading. And the majority of bitcoin mining occurs in China. If bitcoin isn't mined, transactions aren't approved and new bitcoins aren't produced. So a crackdown could bring chaos to the bitcoin community. The uncertainty Read More >>
Fri, Jan 12, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
AEIThe big problem with companies slow to adopt new technologies In my recent interview with Google Chief Economist Hal Varian, we discussed the productivity paradox. This is the idea that we seem to be witnessing all sorts of marvelous tech advances — such as the ability to find all manner of information via a bit of glass in our pockets — yet the official productivity numbers are terrible. One factor at play might be the difficulty that traditional measures have in dealing with the digital economy, something Varian has written a lot about. (Me, too.) But Varian also believes the supposed paradox Read More >>
Fri, Jan 12, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
It's not a popular thing to defend Paul Manafort, the international influence peddler who ran Donald Trump's presidential campaign for a... at WashingtonExaminer.com Read More >>
Fri, Jan 12, 2018
Source: Byron York Category: BYRON YORK
AEINobel laureate Daniel Kahneman on AI: ‘It's very difficult to imagine that with sufficient data there will remain things that only humans can do' Daniel Kahneman is a Nobel laureate famous for his research into how cognitive biases or quirks lead us to make irrational decisions. Given that background, I was fascinated to run across a video (courtesy of economist Joshua Gans, who writes for the Digitopoly blog) of Kahneman speaking recently at a University of Toronto conference on the economics of artificial intelligence. In this transcribed bit from that speech, Kahneman talks about what he thinks ever-advancing AI can ultimately do Read More >>
Thu, Jan 11, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
AEIThe American middle class is absolutely better off now than it was decades ago I wanted to highlight another bit from my recent interview with Bruce Meyer, a visiting scholar here at AEI and a professor at the University of Chicago's Harris School of Public Policy, on inequality and poverty. In this exchange, we discuss whether US living standards have really been stagnant for decades as some researchers claim: Pethokoukis: When people talk about inequality, usually in the next breath they'll say, “Listen, that top 1% is now getting a lot of the income, and at the same time, incomes for the middle Read More >>
Wed, Jan 10, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
AEIWhen will Uber and Lyft be driverless? When will your FedEx person be not a person at all? 11 predictions by a robotics expert Rodney Brooks is a well-known roboticist and entrepreneur. So given those differing and valuable qualifications and perspectives, I would put a bit more weight than typical in his predictions about the future pace of progress in artificial intelligence and robotics. Famed roboticist Rodney Brooks. In a recent blog post, Brooks made a number of predictions about these technologies, assigning a date to each forecast along with generally one of three qualifiers: BY (by the date), NET (no earlier than Read More >>
Wed, Jan 10, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
One of the most contentious issues surrounding the Trump dossier is the question of whether the FBI used unverified material from the dos... at WashingtonExaminer.com Read More >>
Wed, Jan 10, 2018
Source: Byron York Category: BYRON YORK
AEIWhy didn't Microsoft squash Google in the 2000s? One of the more compelling arguments for more heavily regulating Big Tech is that the megaplatforms are somehow stifling innovation. Compelling if true, of course. But from what I've seen, the argument pretty much consists of correlation and anecdote. For instance, there was a Wall Street Journal story last summer about Facebook's “early-bird warning system” that finds and monitors potential competitors. As reporters Betsy Morris and Deepa Seetharaman conclude, “While it's as easy as ever to start a company, it is getting harder to grow fast enough and big enough to avoid getting Read More >>
Tue, Jan 09, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
AEIA Nobel laureate economist explains how AI could bring back the age of Malthus My bias — as long-time AEIdeas readers know — leans toward techno-optimism. While there are always trade-offs in life, I am generally excited about what scientists, technologists, and entrepreneurs will next bring to humanity. One of my blog posts yesterday, for instance, did a deep dive into new research suggesting AI and robotics won't destroy the human job market. See also:Yes, AI can create more jobs than it destroys. Here's how But I am not going to ignore the other side of the trade. And for that perspective, I Read More >>
Tue, Jan 09, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
AEIRethinking inequality and poverty: A short-read Q&A with economist Bruce Meyer Last month on the podcast I talked with economist Bruce Meyer about some of his recent research on inequality and poverty. As a leading researcher in these areas, he provided a different perspective on how to think about the inequality and poverty stats we so often read about, and added his two cents on two popular anti-poverty ideas: the Earned Income Tax Credit and the Universal Basic Income. Below is an abbreviated transcript of our conversation (find the full transcript here). You can subscribe to my podcast on iTunes or Stitcher, Read More >>
Tue, Jan 09, 2018
Source: James Pethokoukis Category: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS
While Washington obsesses over a new book on White House intrigue, the Trump administration is reaching a critical point on the issue of... at WashingtonExaminer.com Read More >>
Mon, Jan 08, 2018
Source: Byron York Category: BYRON YORK
There's been a lot of confusion about the decision by Senate Judiciary Committee chairman Charles Grassley and crime subcommittee chairma... at WashingtonExaminer.com Read More >>
Sat, Jan 06, 2018
Source: Byron York Category: BYRON YORK
For my reading in 2017, I was hoping to get a handle on what was going on in our strange political environment. I have always felt that conservatives have had a healthy skepticism of the accepted conventional wisdom as they seek to understand what is going on beyond Washington, D.C., and the blue urban centers on both coasts. Unfortunately, this skepticism was not penetrating enough in 2016, argue my friends Chris Buskirk and Seth Leibsohn in American Greatness: How Conservatism, Inc. Missed the 2016 Election and What the D.C. Establishment Needs to Learn. Both Leibsohn and Buskirk come from the Read More >>
Tue, Dec 26, 2017
Source: Tevi Troy Category: TEVI TROY
The FBI released its official crime tally for 2016 on Monday, and the data flies in the face of the rhetoric that professional athletes rehearsed in revived Black Lives Matter protests over the weekend. Nearly 900 additional blacks were killed in 2016 compared with 2015, bringing the black homicide victim total to 7,881. Those 7,881... Read More >>
Tue, Sep 26, 2017
Source: Heather MacDonald Category: HEATHER MCDONALD
When you are facing criminal charges, you cannot sit there waiting for the state or federal prosecutor to prosecute you. This is because the sentences meted out on persons convicted of a crime are quite severe. They range from huge fines and penalties to several years in jail. In fact, some crimes come with a life sentence or a death penalty. Whatever the case, you cannot allow a criminal offense to get into your record. That is why it is important for you to hire the best criminal defense attorney Queens NY has to offer. A competent attorney will do Read More >>
Thu, Sep 21, 2017
Source: Andrew C. McCarthy Category: ANDREW C. MCCARTHY